Expectations and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns

  • Author(s): RAFAEL PORTA
  • Published: Apr 30, 2012
  • Pages: 1715-1742
  • DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1996.tb05223.x

ABSTRACT

Previous research has shown that stocks with low prices relative to book value, cash flow, earnings, or dividends (that is, value stocks) earn high returns. Value stocks may earn high returns because they are more risky. Alternatively, systematic errors in expectations may explain the high returns earned by value stocks. I test for the existence of systematic errors using survey data on forecasts by stock market analysts. I show that investment strategies that seek to exploit errors in analysts' forecasts earn superior returns because expectations about future growth in earnings are too extreme.

Jump to menu

Main Navigation

Search the Site / Journal

Search Keywords

Search Tips

Members' Login

Credentials

Members' Options

Site Footer

View Mobile Version