Asset Pricing with Garbage

  • Author(s): ALEXI SAVOV
  • Published: Jan 06, 2011
  • Pages: 177-201
  • DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2010.01629.x

ABSTRACT

A new measure of consumption, garbage, is more volatile and more correlated with stocks than the canonical measure, National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) consumption expenditure. A garbage‐based consumption capital asset pricing model matches the U.S. equity premium with relative risk aversion of 17 versus 81 and evades the joint equity premium‐risk‐free rate puzzle. These results carry through to European data. In a cross‐section of size, value, and industry portfolios, garbage growth is priced and drives out NIPA expenditure growth.

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